Radnik Sesvete 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 39%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.78/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.45
-15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 0-4 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
30.08.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 3-2 HT 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
01.06.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 HT 2-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
0-1
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci squeezed past Radnik Sesvete 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Croatia Zmijavci found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 57% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 43%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 1.67 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Radnik Sesvete 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 35%, draw 31%, Croatia Zmijavci 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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