Motor Lublin 1-4 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
12%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.76
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
10%
5.52
X/2
11%
5.85
X/X
13%
4.33
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
16%
4.12
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.39/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.43
+32% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
25.8 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.73 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
433 Passes 410
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 19
6 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.11.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-3 HT 1-2 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
1-4
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.93 xG 3.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 4
414 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice ran out comfortable winners over Motor Lublin 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Piast Gliwice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 55% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 45%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.93 to 3.38.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

Motor Lublin 1-4 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 39%, draw 28%, Piast Gliwice 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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