Mlada Boleslav 1-1 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.53/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.16
+10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.6 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
317 Passes 214
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 3-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
09.08.2025 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 3-2 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
31.03.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
21.10.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 5-9 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
30.07.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
17.04.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-1
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.54 xG 0.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
422 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav and FC Fastav Zlin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Mlada Boleslav carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 60% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 40%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.54 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 2.00 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Mlada Boleslav 1-1 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 55%, draw 23%, FC Fastav Zlin 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Under 2.5
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