Mlada Boleslav 3-2 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.23
6+ Goals
13%
11.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.37/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.22
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
31.0 Crosses 25.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 5-9 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
30.07.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
17.04.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
20.11.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
24.02.2021 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
29.08.2020 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3-2
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
0.53 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
270 Passes 271
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav squeezed past FC Fastav Zlin 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 50% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 50%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.53 to 1.17 — on chances, FC Fastav Zlin could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.83 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Mlada Boleslav 3-2 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 58%, draw 23%, FC Fastav Zlin 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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