Ceske Budejovice 0-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
5.57
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
22%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.57 — our 28% vs market 13.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-14.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 75%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.60
+19% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 84%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
19.0 Crosses 27.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-0 HT 2-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
05.04.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEKK
12.11.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
07.08.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.02.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
28.08.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
0-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.47 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
281 Passes 326
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag squeezed past Ceske Budejovice 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 47% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 53%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.47 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 1.67 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Sparta Prag?

Ceske Budejovice 0-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 21%, draw 23%, Sparta Prag 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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