Hradec Kralove 2-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 31 Mar 2024

Hradec Kralove
2-1 HT 1-1
Karvina
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2023/2024

Hradec Kralove vs Karvina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 25% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hradec Kralove v Karvina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 24%
+17% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
0.93/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.78
+12% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.0 Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Hradec Kralove vs Karvina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Karvina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
28.11.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
31.07.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
30.04.2017 Karvina Karvina 4-2 HT 2-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
30.10.2016 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 3-4 HT 0-2 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
24.10.2015 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK2

Hradec Kralove 2-1 Karvina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
2-1
AWAY Karvina
0.33 xG 0.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
360 Passes 175
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove edged past Karvina 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hradec Kralove as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 63% of the ball to Karvina's 37%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.33 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karvina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hradec Kralove and 1.67 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Karvina?

Hradec Kralove 2-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 48%, draw 25%, Karvina 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hradec Kralove) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✗ BTTS No
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