Östersunds FK 2-2 Falkenbergs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 9 May 2026

Östersunds FK
2-2 HT 0-0
Falkenbergs FF
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Östersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.86
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
11%
5.0
X/2
10%
7.08
X/X
7%
4.86
2/1
7%
23.5
2/2
18%
4.9
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.7pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v Falkenbergs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
1.39/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.99
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1

Östersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2025 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 4-0 HT 2-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
19.07.2025 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
13.11.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
10.11.2022 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
29.08.2020 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 2-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ
11.07.2020 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 0-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK and Falkenbergs FF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Östersunds FK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.17 for Falkenbergs FF.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF?

Östersunds FK 2-2 Falkenbergs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 46%, draw 19%, Falkenbergs FF 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Östersunds FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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