Falkenbergs FF 4-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Sep 2025

Falkenbergs FF
4-0 HT 2-0
Östersunds FK
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Falkenbergs FF vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.83
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
12.9
X/1
17%
4.86
X/2
13%
7.1
X/X
9%
4.88
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
13%
5.08
2/X
4%
13.55
Value flag · 1/X at 12.9 — our 9% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkenbergs FF v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -26%
1.86/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.51
+22% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Falkenbergs FF vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkenbergs FF
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Östersunds FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.07.2025 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
13.11.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
10.11.2022 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
29.08.2020 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 2-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ
11.07.2020 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 0-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
21.09.2019 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ

Falkenbergs FF 4-0 Östersunds FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkenbergs FF
4-0
AWAY Östersunds FK
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Falkenbergs FF vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkenbergs FF ran out comfortable winners over Östersunds FK 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Falkenbergs FF as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Falkenbergs FF had 51% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 49%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Falkenbergs FF and 1.50 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Falkenbergs FF vs Östersunds FK?

Falkenbergs FF 4-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkenbergs FF vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkenbergs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Falkenbergs FF 47%, draw 23%, Östersunds FK 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkenbergs FF) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkenbergs FF) ✗ BTTS Yes
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