Varbergs 1-1 IK Oddevold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 32% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.98
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.86
X/2
12%
6.73
X/X
14%
4.62
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.94
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +27%
1.75/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.11
+14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
1W-0D-2L
AWAY IK Oddevold
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.06.2025 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 2-1 HT 0-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
14.09.2024 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 3-2 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
23.05.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 2-1 HT 1-0 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs IK Oddevold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs and IK Oddevold shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IK Oddevold led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Varbergs and 2.00 for IK Oddevold.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs IK Oddevold?

Varbergs 1-1 IK Oddevold in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs IK Oddevold?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 39%, draw 27%, IK Oddevold 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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