IK Oddevold 2-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.14
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
10%
6.71
X/2
12%
4.81
X/X
16%
4.41
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.1
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.8
Value flag · 2/X at 13.8 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.1pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 48%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.37
-27% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Oddevold
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Varbergs
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 3-2 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
23.05.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 2-1 HT 1-0 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Oddevold
2-1
AWAY Varbergs
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold edged past Varbergs 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 36% — and on the day IK Oddevold made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IK Oddevold had 49% of the ball to Varbergs's 51%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IK Oddevold and 2.00 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs Varbergs?

IK Oddevold 2-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 29%, draw 35%, Varbergs 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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