Kalmar 2-3 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 Jun 2025

Kalmar
2-3 HT 0-1
Örgryte
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Kalmar vs Örgryte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.4
X/2
7%
10.45
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1
7%
21.5
2/2
12%
7.93
2/X
9%
15.6
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v Örgryte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 23%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
2.51/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.48
+54% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kalmar vs Örgryte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Örgryte
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
The Meetings
23.02.2020 Kalmar Kalmar 3-0 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
03.10.2009 Örgryte Örgryte 4-2 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
21.05.2009 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
05.11.2006 Kalmar Kalmar 3-2 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
19.07.2006 Örgryte Örgryte 1-3 HT 0-3 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
25.07.2005 Örgryte Örgryte 3-3 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte edged past Kalmar 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kalmar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kalmar and 1.67 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Örgryte?

Kalmar 2-3 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 45%, draw 30%, Örgryte 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalmar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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