IK Oddevold 3-2 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 14 Sep 2024

IK Oddevold
3-2 HT 1-0
Varbergs
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Oddevold vs Varbergs Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.95
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
1/X
4%
12.85
X/1
10%
4.88
X/2
8%
6.7
X/X
12%
4.91
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
23%
4.6
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Oddevold v Varbergs — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.01/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.96
-35% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3

IK Oddevold vs Varbergs Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Oddevold
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Varbergs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
23.05.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 2-1 HT 1-0 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold İSÇ2

IK Oddevold 3-2 Varbergs — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Oddevold
3-2
AWAY Varbergs
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold edged past Varbergs 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 40% — and on the day IK Oddevold made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, IK Oddevold had 45% of the ball to Varbergs's 55%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs Varbergs?

IK Oddevold 3-2 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 37%, draw 24%, Varbergs 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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