Utsiktens BK 0-3 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.76
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
6.62
X/2
13%
4.76
X/X
14%
4.61
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.99
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 48%
+25% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.95/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.36
+41% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Degerfors
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 2-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
06.03.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 1-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇK
01.08.2015 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 1-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
03.04.2015 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 4-1 HT 3-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utsiktens BK
0-3
AWAY Degerfors
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors cruised past Utsiktens BK 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Degerfors as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utsiktens BK had 57% of the ball to Degerfors's 43%, shots finished 5-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Utsiktens BK and 1.75 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Degerfors?

Utsiktens BK 0-3 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 29%, draw 30%, Degerfors 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Degerfors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Degerfors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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