FBK Karlstad 2-0 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 29%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.01/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.01
-41% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
2-0
AWAY Jarfalla
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad beat Jarfalla 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FBK Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 41% of the ball to Jarfalla's 59%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Jarfalla?

FBK Karlstad 2-0 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 51%, draw 22%, Jarfalla 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FBK Karlstad), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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