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Genoa (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals
Genoa (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Genoa (K) 2-3 Fiorentina (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina (K) nicked a narrow win over Genoa (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Genoa (K) had 38% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 62%, shots finished 12-26, expected goals 1.14 to 2.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fiorentina (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genoa (K) and 1.50 for Fiorentina (K).
What was the final score of Genoa (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?
Genoa (K) 2-3 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Genoa (K) 22%, draw 21%, Fiorentina (K) 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.