Schwaben Augsburg 3-1 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 38%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
1.53/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.61
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 23.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schwaben Augsburg
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
23.02.2025 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-3 HT 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
17.08.2024 Schwaben Augsburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg saw off Aubstadt 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Schwaben Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Schwaben Augsburg and 1.67 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt?

Schwaben Augsburg 3-1 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schwaben Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 46%, draw 22%, Aubstadt 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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