Aubstadt 2-3 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.05
Draw
44%
3.35
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-12.0pp
44%
Draw
27%
+17.1pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.45/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.80
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +95%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Schwaben Augsburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg nicked a narrow win over Aubstadt 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Aubstadt 2-3 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 33%, draw 44%, Schwaben Augsburg 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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