23/02/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
3-1
Mainz 05 II vs Villingen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
21%
Draw
20%
16%
Away Win
14%
45%
Under 2.5
41%
55%
Over 2.5
59%
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
52%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 II v Villingen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mainz 05 II
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Villingen
EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
2.32/1.15
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.63/2.52
+10%
/
-13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-41%
/
-19%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
415 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
324 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
Mainz 05 II vs Villingen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mainz 05 II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Villingen
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
64%
Ball Possession
36%
10
Total Shots
4
5
Shots on Target
2
11
Corners
3
4
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Mainz 05 II vs Villingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mainz 05 II beat Villingen 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Villingen?
Mainz 05 II 3-1 Villingen in the Germany - Regional League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Villingen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 63%, draw 21%, Villingen 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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ALMBÖL
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23 Feb 2025