Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-1 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.94/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.27
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs MSV Duisburg?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-1 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 24%, draw 25%, MSV Duisburg 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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