MSV Duisburg 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-14.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 15%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
3.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.10
+46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg and Fortuna Düsseldorf II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was MSV Duisburg at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 68% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf II's 32%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

MSV Duisburg 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 54%, draw 21%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MSV Duisburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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