Homburg vs Freiburg II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homburg v Freiburg II — Team-Based Signals
Homburg vs Freiburg II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Homburg
ALMBÖL
1-3
HT 1-2
Freiburg II
ALMBÖL
3-0
HT 0-0
Freiburg II
ALMBÖL
0-2
HT 0-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
2-4
HT 2-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
0-2
HT 0-0
Freiburg II
ALMBÖL
Homburg 2-2 Freiburg II — Actual Match Statistics
Homburg and Freiburg II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Homburg had 60% of the ball to Freiburg II's 40%, shots finished 22-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Homburg and 1.17 for Freiburg II.
What was the final score of Homburg vs Freiburg II?
Homburg 2-2 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homburg vs Freiburg II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Homburg 30%, draw 30%, Freiburg II 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II), Under 2.5 went the other way.