Meuselwitz 1-0 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.48/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.43
+9% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
12.11.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-3 HT 0-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-1 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meuselwitz
1-0
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meuselwitz squeezed past Chemnitzer FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chemnitzer FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Meuselwitz had 48% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 52%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Meuselwitz and 1.67 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Chemnitzer FC?

Meuselwitz 1-0 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 35%, draw 23%, Chemnitzer FC 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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