VfB Oldenburg 0-3 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

VfB Oldenburg
0-3 HT 0-0
Werder Bremen II
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VfB Oldenburg v Werder Bremen II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.68/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.37
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.10.2021 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-0 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-1 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
23.02.2014 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II ran out comfortable winners over VfB Oldenburg 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Oldenburg at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 0.75 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II?

VfB Oldenburg 0-3 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 50%, draw 22%, Werder Bremen II 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (VfB Oldenburg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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