Montana 2-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montana EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 45%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.84/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.08
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2025 Montana Montana 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
03.08.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 HT 3-0 Montana Montana BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montana
2-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Montana vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montana and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montana had 38% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 62%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Montana and 2.50 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Montana vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Montana 2-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montana vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montana 28%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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