Cherno More Varna 2-0 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.16/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.00
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
27.07.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
05.04.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
25.10.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
31.03.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
26.09.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
2-0
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna got the better of Botev Plovdiv 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Cherno More Varna made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 50% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 50%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.83 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv?

Cherno More Varna 2-0 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 36%, draw 27%, Botev Plovdiv 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
9 May 2026
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