Mamelodi Sundowns 7-4 Siwelele — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 9 May 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns
7-4 HT 5-1
Siwelele
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2025/2026

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
76%
-3.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.2pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.3pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mamelodi Sundowns v Siwelele — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Siwelele EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.59/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/2.06
+45% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
421 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 69%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.5
13.5 Crosses 9.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Siwelele
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 0.70
77% Ball Possession 23%
13 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
536 Passes 104
89% Pass Accuracy 59%
43 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
03.12.2025 Siwelele 1-1 HT 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL

Mamelodi Sundowns 7-4 Siwelele — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
7-4
AWAY Siwelele
4.23 xG 2.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
458 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
40 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns swept aside Siwelele 7-4. Half-time: 5-1. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 7-4 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 56% of the ball to Siwelele's 44%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 4.23 to 2.64.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele?

Mamelodi Sundowns 7-4 Siwelele in the South Afrika - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 72%, draw 17%, Siwelele 10%. The final score 7-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
9 May 2026
16:00 Golden Arrows vs Polokwane City Analysis →
16:00 TS Galaxy vs Chippa United Analysis →
16:00 Orbit College vs AmaZulu Analysis →
16:00 Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay Analysis →
21:00 Magesi vs Orlando Pirates Analysis →