Marumo Gallants 1-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
5.06
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.51/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.23
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.2 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Richards Bay
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.64 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
04.02.2025 Richards Bay Richards Bay 2-1 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
04.01.2025 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
14.01.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-2 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
09.08.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
1-1
AWAY Richards Bay
0.68 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
309 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants and Richards Bay couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 52% of the ball to Richards Bay's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.68 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Richards Bay led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Marumo Gallants and 1.00 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay?

Marumo Gallants 1-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marumo Gallants win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 40%, draw 30%, Richards Bay 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marumo Gallants), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marumo Gallants) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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