Tobol vs Irtysh Pavlodar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tobol v Irtysh Pavlodar — Team-Based Signals
Tobol vs Irtysh Pavlodar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Tobol squeezed past Irtysh Pavlodar 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Tobol against 0.67 for Irtysh Pavlodar.
Tobol vs Irtysh Pavlodar Result & Final Score
Tobol 1 - 0 Irtysh Pavlodar in the Kazakhstan - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tobol vs Irtysh Pavlodar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tobol 51%, draw 27%, Irtysh Pavlodar 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.