Zhetysu 2-3 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.94/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.42
-21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Zhenys
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.07.2025 Zhenys Zhenys 3-1 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
05.04.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Zhenys Zhenys KAZP
19.10.2024 Zhenys Zhenys 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
16.06.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-2 HT 0-1 Zhenys Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys squeezed past Zhetysu 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Zhenys found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zhenys led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Zhetysu and 1.50 for Zhenys.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Zhenys?

Zhetysu 2-3 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhetysu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 36%, draw 32%, Zhenys 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zhetysu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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