16/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Zhetysu vs Zhenys Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
31%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
25%
54%
Under 2.5
52%
46%
Over 2.5
48%
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
51%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zhetysu v Zhenys — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zhetysu
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zhenys
EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-36% /
-36%
1.06/0.68
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
-29%
/
+51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+29%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
331 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Zhetysu vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zhetysu and Zhenys couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Zhenys?
Zhetysu 2-2 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Zhenys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zhetysu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 40%, draw 31%, Zhenys 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Zhetysu)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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KAZP
More Kazakistan - Super League
16 Jun 2024