Yelimay Semey 2-2 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.5pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +3%
0.68/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.03
-43% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aktobe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZKK
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey and Aktobe shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 35% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?

Yelimay Semey 2-2 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 30%, draw 35%, Aktobe 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
16 Jun 2024
16:00 Zhetysu vs Zhenys Analysis →
18:00 FC Astana vs Ordabasy Shymkent Analysis →