FC Astana 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -25%
1.40/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.77
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 27
6 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
06.07.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
28.06.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
02.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
25.02.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZSK
19.10.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 2-3 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent nicked a narrow win over FC Astana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Astana and 1.17 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

FC Astana 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 41%, draw 30%, Ordabasy Shymkent 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Astana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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