29/05/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
23%
Draw
25%
33%
Away Win
24%
48%
Under 2.5
53%
52%
Over 2.5
47%
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
44%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aktobe v Yelimay Semey — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aktobe
EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Yelimay Semey
EU Bookmakers 28%
-31% /
-31%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-31%
/
-45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
312 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
253 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Aktobe beat Yelimay Semey 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
Aktobe 2-0 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Cup on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 45%, draw 23%, Yelimay Semey 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Aktobe)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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29 May 2024