Tobol 1-0 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 29 May 2024

Tobol
1-0 HT 1-0
Atyrau
📅29/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.11/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.24
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atyrau
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
08.07.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
02.07.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
28.06.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
24.06.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 3-0 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
10.09.2022 Tobol Tobol 0-2 HT 0-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
22.04.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 2-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol squeezed past Atyrau 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tobol and 1.17 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Atyrau?

Tobol 1-0 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Cup on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tobol 49%, draw 26%, Atyrau 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZKK More Kazakistan - Cup
29 May 2024
18:00 Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey Analysis →