Zhenys 3-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 18%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.40
+6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
05.04.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Zhenys KAZP
19.10.2024 Zhenys 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
16.06.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-2 HT 0-1 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys beat Zhetysu 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zhenys as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zhenys had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zhenys and 0.67 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Zhetysu?

Zhenys 3-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhenys win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 52%, draw 26%, Zhetysu 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhenys) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zhenys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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