Tobol 2-1 Okzhetpes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 13 Jul 2025

Tobol
2-1 HT 0-1
Okzhetpes
📅13/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2025

Tobol vs Okzhetpes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tobol v Okzhetpes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
2.09/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.39
+13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Tobol vs Okzhetpes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Okzhetpes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
The Meetings
05.04.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.07.2023 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
28.05.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-2 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
24.11.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
22.09.2020 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
15.09.2019 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Okzhetpes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol nicked a narrow win over Okzhetpes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tobol and 0.17 for Okzhetpes.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Okzhetpes?

Tobol 2-1 Okzhetpes in the Kazakistan - Super League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Okzhetpes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tobol 60%, draw 24%, Okzhetpes 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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