Riga Mariners 1-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
78%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.39
Away
9%
7.88
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Riga Mariners The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene The Market 13%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.81
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.45
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga Mariners
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.10.2025 Smiltene Smiltene 1-3 Riga Mariners Riga Mariners LET1
28.06.2025 Riga Mariners Riga Mariners 3-1 HT 2-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
REVIEW Riga Mariners vs Smiltene
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Riga Mariners edged past Smiltene 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Riga Mariners had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Riga Mariners and 1.00 for Smiltene.

Riga Mariners vs Smiltene Result & Final Score

Riga Mariners 1 - 0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Riga Mariners vs Smiltene Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 78%, draw 13%, Smiltene 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
9 May 2026
13:00 Tukums II vs Marupe Analysis →
15:00 Super Nova II vs Rezekne / BJSS Analysis →
16:00 Valmiera / BSS vs JDFS Alberts Analysis →
17:00 JFK Ventspils vs Metta / LU Riga Analysis →