Zorya Luhansk 1-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 50%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.82/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.85
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-3 HT 1-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
31.03.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-1 HT 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
15.09.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-1 HT 2-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
08.05.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
28.10.2022 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
31.10.2021 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-6 HT 1-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
1-1
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Metalist 1925 Kharkiv at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Zorya Luhansk had 47% of the ball to Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 0.83 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Zorya Luhansk 1-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 29%, draw 28%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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