Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.53/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.29
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-1 HT 2-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
08.05.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
28.10.2022 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
31.10.2021 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-6 HT 1-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk nicked a narrow win over Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zorya Luhansk as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 0.75 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 43%, draw 24%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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