Vorskla Poltava 1-5 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.9
Over 2.5
60%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
49%
-8.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
51%
+8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 69%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.12/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.10
+17% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
04.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
23.10.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
06.11.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-2 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
01.05.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-5 HT 1-3 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
28.11.2020 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev swept aside Vorskla Poltava 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 2.17 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev?

Vorskla Poltava 1-5 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 22%, draw 22%, Dynamo Kiev 56%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
31 Mar 2024
13:00 Minai vs Oleksandria Analysis →
15:30 Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Analysis →
18:00 Kolos Kovalivka vs Livyi Bereh Analysis →