Kungsangen 2-3 Arlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.51
Over
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-10.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kungsangen EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Arlanda EU Bookmakers 64%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.84/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
-35% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -48%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kungsangen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Arlanda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.09.2023 Kungsangen Kungsangen 1-3 HT 0-2 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
28.05.2023 Arlanda Arlanda 4-1 HT 1-1 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
13.11.2021 Arlanda Arlanda 1-1 HT 1-1 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
11.09.2021 Kungsangen Kungsangen 3-0 HT 2-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Kungsangen vs Arlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda squeezed past Kungsangen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arlanda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arlanda led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kungsangen and 2.00 for Arlanda.

What was the final score of Kungsangen vs Arlanda?

Kungsangen 2-3 Arlanda in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kungsangen vs Arlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kungsangen 26%, draw 24%, Arlanda 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arlanda), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arlanda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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