Madrid CFF (K) 2-3 Real Sociedad (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.72
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
54%
-20.8pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.49/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.40
+70% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
13.0 Crosses 19.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 322
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
2-3
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
2.12 xG 2.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
446 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad (K) edged past Madrid CFF (K) 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Sociedad (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 61% of the ball to Real Sociedad (K)'s 39%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 2.12 to 2.88.

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 2-3 Real Sociedad (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad (K) 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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