Sevilla (K) 1-1 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.13
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.6pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.5pp
33%
Away Win
56%
-23.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.68 xG 1.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
229 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) and Atletico Madrid (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 39% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 61%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.68 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Sevilla (K) 1-1 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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