Minnesota United 1-1 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Jun 2024

Minnesota United
1-1 HT 1-1
FC Dallas
📅09/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Minnesota United vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
21%
4.95
X/2
10%
6.7
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
8%
4.54
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minnesota United v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.80/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.51
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.6 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Minnesota United vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Dallas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.91 xG 1.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 458
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.05.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
26.02.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 0-1 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
18.10.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
03.09.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
23.05.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-2 HT 0-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
03.10.2021 FC Dallas FC Dallas 0-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD

Minnesota United 1-1 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-1
AWAY FC Dallas
0.61 xG 0.31
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 606
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United and FC Dallas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 35% of the ball to FC Dallas's 65%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.61 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Minnesota United and 0.83 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs FC Dallas?

Minnesota United 1-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 50%, draw 26%, FC Dallas 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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