New England Revolution 1-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.52
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
19%
5.54
X/2
16%
5.7
X/X
11%
5.02
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
3.67
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.50/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.27
-15% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.4 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
1W-1D-4L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-2 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
31.08.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
23.07.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution CONLK
09.07.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
11.09.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
03.04.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-0
AWAY New York Red Bulls
0.90 xG 1.14
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
448 Passes 288
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution edged past New York Red Bulls 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had New England Revolution as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 59% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 41%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.90 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for New England Revolution and 1.50 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

New England Revolution 1-0 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 41%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ BTTS No
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