Nykobing 2-1 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-12.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 64%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.00
-100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Middelfart
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 2-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
21.10.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 2-2 HT 1-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
02.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
2-1
AWAY Middelfart
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing nicked a narrow win over Middelfart 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Middelfart at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nykobing had 40% of the ball to Middelfart's 60%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Middelfart led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nykobing and 1.33 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Middelfart?

Nykobing 2-1 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 27%, draw 25%, Middelfart 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Middelfart), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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