Middelfart 2-0 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 31% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.2pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.08/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/3.86
+1% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / -51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nykobing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 2-2 HT 1-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
02.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
2-0
AWAY Nykobing
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart saw off Nykobing 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Middelfart had 56% of the ball to Nykobing's 44%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Middelfart and 1.00 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Nykobing?

Middelfart 2-0 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 59%, draw 25%, Nykobing 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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