Skive IK 4-0 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.20/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.54
-30% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Skive IK Skive IK 2-2 HT 1-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
12.08.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
03.06.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 0-2 HT 0-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
06.05.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-2 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
11.03.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
17.09.2022 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-2 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skive IK
4-0
AWAY Hellerup IK
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK ran out comfortable winners over Hellerup IK 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Skive IK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Skive IK had 46% of the ball to Hellerup IK's 54%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skive IK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Skive IK and 1.17 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Hellerup IK?

Skive IK 4-0 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 46%, draw 28%, Hellerup IK 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skive IK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Skive IK) ✗ Under 2.5
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