Aarhus Fremad 1-0 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
13%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.24/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.61
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Akademisk BK
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
07.10.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.06.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-2 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
16.04.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-3 HT 0-2 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
12.03.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 0-1 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
09.10.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-2 HT 2-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad edged past Akademisk BK 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.17 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Akademisk BK?

Aarhus Fremad 1-0 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 53%, draw 21%, Akademisk BK 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5
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