Akademisk BK 1-1 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.15/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.36
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.06.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-2 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
16.04.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-3 HT 0-2 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
12.03.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 0-1 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
09.10.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-2 HT 2-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
21.11.2021 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
1-1
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK and Aarhus Fremad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 48% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 52%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Akademisk BK and 2.00 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Akademisk BK 1-1 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 27%, draw 26%, Aarhus Fremad 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
17 Mar 2024
16:00 Thisted vs Esbjerg Analysis →